Modelaje de la Distribución geográfica de Pinus pseudostrobus y P. leiophylla
Citation
Sáenz Romero C, Comisión nacional para el conocimiento y uso de la biodiversidad C (2024). Modelaje de la Distribución geográfica de Pinus pseudostrobus y P. leiophylla. Version 1.12. Comisión nacional para el conocimiento y uso de la biodiversidad. Occurrence dataset https://doi.org/10.15468/mjl87o accessed via GBIF.org on 2024-09-01.Description
The objective of the proposal is to model the geographic distribution of Pinus psedostrobus and P. leiophylla, by predicting the distribution of their suitable habitat from climate variables. Both species are very important on their ecological role as components of the pine-oak and coniferous forest in México. Pinus psedostrobus is one of the most economically important species in the Neovolcanic Axis (named also Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt) for its good wood quality, relatively fast growth rate and straight stem. P. leiophylla is usually heavily tapped for resin production and its distribution reaches southern USA, making it a subject for bi-national interest due to its potential to colonize USA grassland-forest transition areas under climatic change scenarios. We will use presence/absence data from (a previously screened for errors) Mexican National Forest Inventory and climatic variables estimated by a spline climate model. Presence or absence in the contemporary climate will be predicted from climate variables obtained for each observation from spline climate surfaces available for Mexico and the rest of North America. A climate profile for each species will be constructed by selecting 5 to 8 of the most relevant climatic variables from 36 climatic variables using the Random Forests algorithm in R. Relevant climate variables are selected according to importance values calculated by the statistical software and according to the errors of prediction of the classification tree. The best fitting models will be used to predict the suitability of the climate for the species on maps gridded at 1 km2 , and distribution maps will be constructed with ArcMap. As an extra product, we will predict the distribution of their suitable habitat for the years 2030, 2060 and 2090, using combinations of three General Circulation Models and two emission scenarios (low and elevated emissions). We considered that management plans for both biological conservation and commercial use must consider actions to accommodate the climatic change, such as assisted migration or assisted colonization.
Reino: 1 Filo: 1 Clase: 1 Orden: 1 Familia: 1 Género: 1 Subgénero: 1 Especie: 2
Taxonomic Coverages
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Plantaerank: kingdom
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Tracheophytarank: phylum
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Equisetopsidarank: class
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Pinalesrank: order
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Pinaceaerank: family
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Pinusrank: genus
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Pinusrank: subgenus
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Pinus (Pinus) leiophyllacommon name: manzanita, ocote, ocote blanco, ocote chino, ocote negro, ocotl (Náhuatl), palo otomite, pino, pino blanco, pino calocote, pino chamaite, pino chamonque, pino chico, pino chino, pino coyote, pino negro, pino otomite, pino prieto, pino real, pino saguaco, sawá (Tarahumara) rank: species
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Pinus (Pinus) pseudostrobuscommon name: mocochtaj (Tojolabal), montezumae, ocote, ocote blanco, ocote liso, ocotillo, ocotl (Náhuatl), pinabete, pino, pino amarillo, pino blanco, pino canis, pino cantzimbo, pino chamaite, pino chino, pino colorado, pino de cono chico, pino de hoja fina, pino huiyoco, pino lacio, pino liso, pino nayar, pino oaxacana, pino ocote, pino ortiguillo, pino real, pino rojo, pino triste, taj (Maya) rank: species
Geographic Coverages
Bibliographic Citations
Contacts
Cuauhtémoc Sáenz Romerooriginator
position: Responsable
Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de HidalgoInstituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias y Forestales, Unidad San Juanito Itzícuaro
Av. San Juanito Itzícuaro s/n
Morelia
58330
Michoacán
MX
Telephone: Tel (443) 334-0475, Ext. 118, Fax ext 200
CONABIO Comisión nacional para el conocimiento y uso de la biodiversidad
metadata author
position: Dirección General de Sistemas
Comisión Nacional para el Conocimiento y Uso de la Biodiversidad
Liga Periférico-Insurgentes Sur No. 4903, Col. Parques del Pedregal
MÉXICO
14010
Tlalpan
MX
Telephone: 50045000
email: patricia.ramos@conabio.gob.mx
homepage: https://www.gob.mx/conabio
Patricia Ramos Rivera
administrative point of contact
position: Dirección General de Sistemas
Comisión Nacional para el Conocimiento y Uso de la Biodiversidad
Liga Periférico-Insurgentes Sur No. 4903, Col. Parques del Pedregal
México
14010
Tlalpan
MX
Telephone: 50045000
email: patricia.ramos@conabio.gob.mx
homepage: https://www.gob.mx/conabio